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Eintracht Mahlsdorf v Neustrelitz

Eintracht Mahlsdorf

2–1Full time

Neustrelitz

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Eintracht Mahlsdorf 2–1 Neustrelitz EINTRACHT MAHLSDORF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eintracht Mahlsdorf win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.459

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Eintracht Mahlsdorf win45%

Draw25%

Neustrelitz win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eintracht mahlsdorf winPublished 10 Oct 14:40

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Eintracht Mahlsdorf a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eintracht Mahlsdorf win	45%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Neustrelitz win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Eintracht Mahlsdorf or draw	70%	–	–
Eintracht Mahlsdorf clean sheet	28%	–	–
Neustrelitz clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.3 6.2 4.5 2.0 1 7.9 11.5 7.0 3.1 2 7.0 8.8 5.7 2.6 3 3.9 5.0 3.2 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eintracht Mahlsdorf down, Neustrelitz across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,354 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.2% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eintracht Mahlsdorf at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Neustrelitz away: 1.33 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Eintracht Mahlsdorf, 1.31 for Neustrelitz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~EIN 2–1 NEU · NEU 1–1 EIN · EIN 3–2 NEU · NEU 0–3 EIN

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

EINTRACHT MAHLSDORF

LWDWLW0–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 3–1

NEUSTRELITZ

LWLLLL2–3 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	BAK '07	6	+6	14
2	Siedenbollentin	6	+7	13
3	Lichtenberg	6	+4	12
4	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	6	+2	10
5	Optik Rathenow	6	0	10
6	Hansa Rostock II	7	+7	9
7	Hertha Zehlendorf	6	+2	9
8	Mecklenburg Schwerin	7	−1	9
9	Anker Wismar	6	−2	9
10	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	6	0	8
11	FC Lok Stendal	6	−2	7
12	Union Klosterfelde	6	−4	7
13	Tennis Borussia	6	−1	6
14	Sparta Lichtenberg	6	−2	5
15	Makkabi	6	−9	5
16	Neustrelitz	6	−7	3