Eintracht Mahlsdorf v Hertha Zehlendorf prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Eintracht Mahlsdorf 2–1 Hertha Zehlendorf HERTHA ZEHLENDORF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hertha Zehlendorf win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.780

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hertha Zehlendorf are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eintracht Mahlsdorf 29%, draw 25%, Hertha Zehlendorf 46%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Eintracht Mahlsdorf v Hertha ZehlendorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Eintracht Mahlsdorf win29%

Draw25%

Hertha Zehlendorf win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eintracht Mahlsdorf

Hertha Zehlendorf

8Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	8	+5	16
3	Hertha Zehlendorf	8	+9	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hertha zehlendorf winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Hertha Zehlendorf a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eintracht Mahlsdorf v Hertha Zehlendorf~~1.23 – 1.63

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 30 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 15~~2 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hertha Zehlendorf win

Published at 44%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eintracht Mahlsdorf win	29%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Hertha Zehlendorf win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Eintracht Mahlsdorf or draw	54%	–	–
Eintracht Mahlsdorf clean sheet	21%	–	–
Hertha Zehlendorf clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 7.0 9.1 7.7 4.3 1 6.5 11.4 8.6 4.7 2.0 2 4.4 6.7 5.3 2.9 3 3.0 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eintracht Mahlsdorf down, Hertha Zehlendorf across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.5% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eintracht Mahlsdorf at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hertha Zehlendorf away: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for Eintracht Mahlsdorf, 1.63 for Hertha Zehlendorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~HER 4–1 EIN · EIN 0–8 HER · EIN 0–4 HER · HER 2–0 EIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 30 Aug

EINTRACHT MAHLSDORF

DWLWWW1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 3–1

HERTHA ZEHLENDORF

LLWWWW0–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	9	+4	17
2	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	8	+5	16
3	Hertha Zehlendorf	8	+9	15
4	BAK '07	8	+3	15
5	Siedenbollentin	9	+5	14
6	Hansa Rostock II	9	+8	13
7	Lichtenberg	8	+2	13
8	Anker Wismar	8	0	13
9	Tennis Borussia	9	0	12
10	Optik Rathenow	8	−2	10
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	8	−3	9
12	FC Lok Stendal	8	−3	8
13	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
14	Makkabi	8	−10	8
15	Neustrelitz	8	−6	6
16	Sparta Lichtenberg	8	−6	6