Anker Wismar v Siedenbollentin prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Anker Wismar 0–0 Siedenbollentin ANKER WISMAR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Anker Wismar win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.893

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anker Wismar are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Anker Wismar 42%, draw 23%, Siedenbollentin 35%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Anker Wismar v SiedenbollentinBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Anker Wismar win42%

Draw23%

Siedenbollentin win35%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundNOFV-Nord · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Anker Wismar

Siedenbollentin

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Siedenbollentin	7	+6	13
6	Anker Wismar	7	0	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anker wismar winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Anker Wismar a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Anker Wismar v Siedenbollentin~~1.83 – 1.66

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 14 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 13~~6 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anker Wismar win	42%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Siedenbollentin win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Anker Wismar or draw	65%	–	–
Anker Wismar clean sheet	20%	–	–
Siedenbollentin clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 3.9 4.8 4.3 2.4 1 5.3 9.6 7.4 4.1 2 5.2 8.1 6.6 3.7 3 3.2 5.0 4.1 2.3 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anker Wismar down, Siedenbollentin across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,362 Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Nordost-Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.6% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Anker Wismar at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Siedenbollentin away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Anker Wismar, 1.66 for Siedenbollentin. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SIE 4–3 ANK · ANK 3–0 SIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord this season · since 14 Aug

ANKER WISMAR

WLLWLW3–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 3–1

SIEDENBOLLENTIN

LWWWDL2–3 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Mahlsdorf	8	+5	16
2	BAK '07	7	+6	15
3	Siedenbollentin	7	+6	13
4	Hertha Zehlendorf	7	+6	12
5	Lichtenberg	7	+2	12
6	Anker Wismar	7	0	12
7	Reinickendorfer Fuchse	7	+1	11
8	Optik Rathenow	7	−1	10
9	Hansa Rostock II	7	+7	9
10	Tennis Borussia	7	0	9
11	Mecklenburg Schwerin	7	−1	9
12	Union Klosterfelde	8	−6	8
13	Makkabi	7	−8	8
14	FC Lok Stendal	7	−3	7
15	Sparta Lichtenberg	7	−6	5
16	Neustrelitz	7	−8	3