Wilhelmshaven v Hemmingen prediction · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Wilhelmshaven 3–2 Hemmingen WILHELMSHAVEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wilhelmshaven win~~68%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.153

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wilhelmshaven are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wilhelmshaven 68%, draw 19%, Hemmingen 13%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Wilhelmshaven v HemmingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Wilhelmshaven win68%

Draw19%

Hemmingen win13%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wilhelmshaven

Hemmingen

8Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Wilhelmshaven	10	+13	21
13	Hemmingen	10	−19	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wilhelmshaven winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Wilhelmshaven a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wilhelmshaven v Hemmingen~~2.43 – 0.97

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 21 v 7~~4 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Wilhelmshaven win

Published at 66%, 68% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wilhelmshaven win	68%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Hemmingen win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Wilhelmshaven or draw	87%	–	–
Wilhelmshaven clean sheet	38%	–	–
Hemmingen clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.8%

0123450 4.4 2.6 1 7.5 8.6 3.8 2 9.8 9.2 4.5 3 7.8 7.4 3.6 4 4.8 4.5 2.2 5 2.4 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Wilhelmshaven down, Hemmingen across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,424 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.9% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Wilhelmshaven at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hemmingen away: 1.00 scored, 2.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.43 goals for Wilhelmshaven, 0.97 for Hemmingen. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 5 Sept

WILHELMSHAVEN

DWDWWD2–2 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 1–1

HEMMINGEN

WLLLLL3–2 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Braunschw. II	12	+18	26
2	Heeslinger SC	11	+17	22
3	Spelle-Venhaus	11	+11	22
4	Wilhelmshaven	10	+13	21
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
6	Borussia Hildesheim	11	+5	20
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17
8	Bersenbrück	11	0	16
9	Meppen II	11	−2	16
10	Verden 04	12	+1	13
11	Nordhorn	12	−13	13
12	Germania Egestorf	10	−9	9
13	Hemmingen	10	−19	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	−5	6
15	Vorsfelde	11	−19	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	10	−14	3