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Wilhelmshaven v BW Lohne

Wilhelmshaven

3–2Full time

BW Lohne

Oberliga - Niedersachsen · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Wilhelmshaven 3–2 BW Lohne WILHELMSHAVEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wilhelmshaven win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.498

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Wilhelmshaven win42%

Draw26%

BW Lohne win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wilhelmshaven winPublished 9 Oct 21:03

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Wilhelmshaven a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wilhelmshaven win	42%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
BW Lohne win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Wilhelmshaven or draw	68%	–	–
Wilhelmshaven clean sheet	27%	–	–
BW Lohne clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.6 6.2 4.8 2.2 1 7.5 11.9 7.3 3.4 2 6.7 8.6 5.8 2.6 3 3.6 4.7 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wilhelmshaven down, BW Lohne across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,405 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.6% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Wilhelmshaven at home: 1.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). BW Lohne away: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Wilhelmshaven, 1.36 for BW Lohne. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen

WILHELMSHAVEN

WLDWDW2–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 3–0

BW LOHNE

WWDWLW3–0 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	9	+14	18
2	Borussia Hildesheim	8	+7	18
3	Eintracht Braunschw. II	9	+14	17
4	Wilhelmshaven	8	+12	17
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	8	+8	17
6	Spelle-Venhaus	8	+6	15
7	BW Lohne	8	+5	14
8	Nordhorn	9	−8	11
9	Verden 04	9	−1	10
10	Bersenbrück	8	−3	10
11	Meppen II	9	−5	10
12	Germania Egestorf	8	−8	8
13	Hemmingen	8	−13	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	8	−3	5
15	Vorsfelde	9	−15	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	8	−10	3