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Schwarz-Weiß Rehden v Hemmingen

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden

3–1Full time

Hemmingen

Oberliga - Niedersachsen · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 3–1 Hemmingen SCHWARZ-WEISS REHDEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.206

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win63%

Draw20%

Hemmingen win17%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · schwarz-weiß rehden winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Schwarz-Weiß Rehden a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win	63%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Hemmingen win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden or draw	83%	–	–
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden clean sheet	33%	–	–
Hemmingen clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%

0123450 4.2 3.0 2.1 1 7.0 9.0 4.6 2 8.6 9.3 5.2 3 6.6 7.2 4.0 4 3.9 4.2 2.3 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Schwarz-Weiß Rehden down, Hemmingen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,408 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.9% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hemmingen away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.32 goals for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden, 1.11 for Hemmingen. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen

SCHWARZ-WEISS REHDEN

DWWWWL2–2 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 0–3

HEMMINGEN

LWWLLL2–6 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	10	+17	21
2	Wilhelmshaven	9	+13	20
3	Borussia Hildesheim	8	+7	18
4	Eintracht Braunschw. II	9	+14	17
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	8	+8	17
6	Spelle-Venhaus	8	+6	15
7	BW Lohne	9	+4	14
8	Bersenbrück	9	+2	13
9	Nordhorn	10	−13	11
10	Verden 04	9	−1	10
11	Meppen II	9	−5	10
12	Germania Egestorf	8	−8	8
13	Hemmingen	8	−13	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	8	−3	5
15	Vorsfelde	9	−15	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	−13	3