Schwarz-Weiß Rehden v Heeslinger SC prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Schwarz-Weiß RehdenDrawHeeslinger SC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Heeslinger SC 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Heeslinger SC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 35%, draw 24%, Heeslinger SC 41%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Schwarz-Weiß Rehden v Heeslinger SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win35%

Draw24%

Heeslinger SC win41%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:30

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden

Heeslinger SC

14Days since last match12

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Heeslinger SC	11	+17	22
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heeslinger sc winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Heeslinger SC a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Schwarz-Weiß Rehden v Heeslinger SC~~1.62 – 1.76

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 21 v 22~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden win	35%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Heeslinger SC win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden or draw	59%	–	–
Schwarz-Weiß Rehden clean sheet	18%	–	–
Heeslinger SC clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.6 5.2 5.3 3.1 1 4.7 10.5 8.3 4.9 2.2 2 4.5 7.7 6.7 3.9 3 2.5 4.2 3.6 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Schwarz-Weiß Rehden down, Heeslinger SC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,424 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.9% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Schwarz-Weiß Rehden at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Heeslinger SC away: 2.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Schwarz-Weiß Rehden, 1.76 for Heeslinger SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~HEE 3–0 SCH · SCH 2–1 HEE · HEE 0–1 SCH · SCH 5–0 HEE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept

SCHWARZ-WEISS REHDEN

WWWLWD3–0 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 3–1 · 1–1

HEESLINGER SC

DWDLWD1–1 · 5–0 · 3–3 · 1–4 · 4–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Braunschw. II	12	+18	26
2	Heeslinger SC	11	+17	22
3	Spelle-Venhaus	11	+11	22
4	Wilhelmshaven	10	+13	21
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
6	Borussia Hildesheim	11	+5	20
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17
8	Bersenbrück	11	0	16
9	Meppen II	11	−2	16
10	Verden 04	12	+1	13
11	Nordhorn	12	−13	13
12	Germania Egestorf	10	−9	9
13	Hemmingen	10	−19	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	−5	6
15	Vorsfelde	11	−19	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	10	−14	3