Nordhorn v Germania Egestorf prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Nordhorn 2–2 Germania Egestorf GERMANIA EGESTORF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Germania Egestorf win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.906

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Germania Egestorf are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nordhorn 27%, draw 23%, Germania Egestorf 50%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Nordhorn v Germania EgestorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Nordhorn win27%

Draw23%

Germania Egestorf win50%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nordhorn

Germania Egestorf

9Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Nordhorn	10	−13	11
12	Germania Egestorf	9	−9	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · germania egestorf winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Germania Egestorf a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nordhorn v Germania Egestorf~~1.40 – 1.96

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 8~~10 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nordhorn win	27%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Germania Egestorf win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Nordhorn or draw	50%	–	–
Nordhorn clean sheet	15%	–	–
Germania Egestorf clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.6 6.1 6.7 4.4 2.2 1 4.2 10.2 9.0 5.9 3.0 2 3.5 6.5 6.3 4.1 2.1 3 3.1 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nordhorn down, Germania Egestorf across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,415 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.1% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Nordhorn at home: 1.00 scored, 2.60 conceded a game (last 5). Germania Egestorf away: 2.17 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Nordhorn, 1.96 for Germania Egestorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 30 Aug

NORDHORN

DWLDLL2–2 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 3–3 · 1–3 · 0–5

GERMANIA EGESTORF

DLLWWL2–2 · 0–3 · 1–8 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	10	+17	21
2	Wilhelmshaven	10	+13	21
3	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
4	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	+15	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	9	+7	19
6	Spelle-Venhaus	9	+7	18
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17
8	Bersenbrück	9	+2	13
9	Meppen II	10	−3	13
10	Nordhorn	10	−13	11
11	Verden 04	10	−2	10
12	Germania Egestorf	9	−9	8
13	Hemmingen	9	−15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	−5	6
15	Vorsfelde	10	−17	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	−13	3