Meppen II v Vorsfelde prediction · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Meppen II 2–0 Vorsfelde MEPPEN II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Meppen II win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.318

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

Meppen IIDrawVorsfelde

Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time

Full time · Meppen II 2–0 Vorsfelde

AI match analysis

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Meppen II

Vorsfelde

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Meppen II	9	−5	10
15	Vorsfelde	9	−15	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Meppen II win54%

Draw24%

Vorsfelde win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · meppen ii winPublished 11 Oct 15:49

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Meppen II a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Meppen II win	54%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Vorsfelde win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Meppen II or draw	78%	–	–
Meppen II clean sheet	32%	–	–
Vorsfelde clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.9 4.7 3.2 1 8.2 11.0 5.8 2.3 2 8.5 9.5 5.4 2.1 3 5.4 6.0 3.5 4 2.7 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Meppen II down, Vorsfelde across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,410 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.6% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Meppen II at home: 2.17 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Vorsfelde away: 1.33 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Meppen II, 1.15 for Vorsfelde. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~0 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MEP 0–1 VOR · VOR 0–0 MEP · VOR 2–0 MEP · MEP 0–1 VOR

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen

MEPPEN II

WLLLWW3–2 · 2–3 · 0–5 · 1–3 · 4–0 · 3–1

VORSFELDE

LLLDDL1–3 · 0–3 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	10	+17	21
2	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	+15	20
3	Wilhelmshaven	9	+13	20
4	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	9	+10	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	8	+7	18
6	Spelle-Venhaus	8	+6	15
7	BW Lohne	9	+4	14
8	Bersenbrück	9	+2	13
9	Nordhorn	10	−13	11
10	Verden 04	10	−2	10
11	Meppen II	9	−5	10
12	Germania Egestorf	8	−8	8
13	Hemmingen	9	−15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	8	−3	5
15	Vorsfelde	9	−15	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	−13	3