Meppen II v Drochtersen/Assel II prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Meppen IIDrawDrochtersen/Assel II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Meppen II 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Meppen II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Meppen II 60%, draw 21%, Drochtersen/Assel II 20%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Meppen II v Drochtersen/Assel IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Meppen II win60%

Draw21%

Drochtersen/Assel II win20%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Meppen II

Drochtersen/Assel II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Meppen II	11	−2	16
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	10	−14	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · meppen ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Meppen II a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Meppen II v Drochtersen/Assel II~~2.31 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 16 v 3~~9 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Meppen II win	60%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Drochtersen/Assel II win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Meppen II or draw	80%	–	–
Meppen II clean sheet	29%	–	–
Drochtersen/Assel II clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.9 2.9 2.3 1 5.9 8.9 5.1 2.2 2 7.5 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 5.7 7.0 4.4 4 3.3 4.1 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Meppen II down, Drochtersen/Assel II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,425 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.3% of games this season, across 87 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Meppen II at home: 1.67 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Drochtersen/Assel II away: 0.80 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.31 goals for Meppen II, 1.27 for Drochtersen/Assel II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept

MEPPEN II

LLWWWW0–5 · 1–3 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

DROCHTERSEN/ASSEL II

LLLLLL0–2 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Braunschw. II	12	+18	26
2	Wilhelmshaven	11	+14	24
3	Heeslinger SC	11	+17	22
4	Spelle-Venhaus	11	+11	22
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
6	Borussia Hildesheim	11	+5	20
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17
8	Bersenbrück	11	0	16
9	Meppen II	11	−2	16
10	Verden 04	12	+1	13
11	Nordhorn	12	−13	13
12	Germania Egestorf	10	−9	9
13	Hemmingen	11	−20	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	−5	6
15	Vorsfelde	11	−19	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	10	−14	3