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Heeslinger SC v Drochtersen/Assel II

Heeslinger SC

4–1Full time

Drochtersen/Assel II

Oberliga - Niedersachsen · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Heeslinger SC 4–1 Drochtersen/Assel II HEESLINGER SC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Heeslinger SC win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.110

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Heeslinger SC win73%

Draw15%

Drochtersen/Assel II win12%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heeslinger sc winPublished 9 Oct 21:03

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Heeslinger SC a 73% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Heeslinger SC win	73%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Drochtersen/Assel II win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Heeslinger SC or draw	88%	–	–
Heeslinger SC clean sheet	31%	–	–
Drochtersen/Assel II clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%

0123450 2.1 1 4.1 5.8 3.2 2 6.6 7.8 4.7 3 6.6 7.7 4.6 4 5.0 5.8 3.5 5 3.1 3.6 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Heeslinger SC down, Drochtersen/Assel II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,405 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.6% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Heeslinger SC at home: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Drochtersen/Assel II away: 0.75 scored, 2.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

3.06 goals for Heeslinger SC, 1.20 for Drochtersen/Assel II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen

HEESLINGER SC

WWDWDL4–0 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 3–3 · 1–4

DROCHTERSEN/ASSEL II

LLLLLL1–2 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–4 · 2–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	9	+14	18
2	Borussia Hildesheim	8	+7	18
3	Eintracht Braunschw. II	9	+14	17
4	Wilhelmshaven	8	+12	17
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	8	+8	17
6	Spelle-Venhaus	8	+6	15
7	BW Lohne	8	+5	14
8	Nordhorn	9	−8	11
9	Verden 04	9	−1	10
10	Bersenbrück	8	−3	10
11	Meppen II	9	−5	10
12	Germania Egestorf	8	−8	8
13	Hemmingen	8	−13	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	8	−3	5
15	Vorsfelde	9	−15	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	8	−10	3