Heeslinger SC v BW Lohne prediction · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Heeslinger SCDrawBW Lohne

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Heeslinger SC 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Heeslinger SC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Heeslinger SC 52%, draw 21%, BW Lohne 27%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Heeslinger SC v BW LohneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Heeslinger SC win52%

Draw21%

BW Lohne win27%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Heeslinger SC

BW Lohne

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Heeslinger SC	11	+17	22
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heeslinger sc winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Heeslinger SC a 52% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Heeslinger SC v BW Lohne~~2.37 – 1.69

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 17~~3 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Heeslinger SC win	52%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
BW Lohne win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	57%	–	–
Heeslinger SC or draw	73%	–	–
Heeslinger SC clean sheet	19%	–	–
BW Lohne clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.9%

0123450 2.7 2.5 2.6 1 3.7 7.6 5.7 3.2 2 5.0 7.9 6.5 3.7 3 3.8 6.2 5.1 2.9 4 2.3 3.7 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Heeslinger SC down, BW Lohne across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,425 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.3% of games this season, across 87 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 0.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Heeslinger SC at home: 2.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). BW Lohne away: 2.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Heeslinger SC, 1.69 for BW Lohne. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~0.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BWL 0–1 HEE · HEE 0–0 BWL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept

HEESLINGER SC

DWDLWD1–1 · 5–0 · 3–3 · 1–4 · 4–1 · 0–0

BW LOHNE

DWLWLW2–2 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Braunschw. II	12	+18	26
2	Wilhelmshaven	11	+14	24
3	Heeslinger SC	11	+17	22
4	Spelle-Venhaus	11	+11	22
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
6	Borussia Hildesheim	11	+5	20
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17
8	Bersenbrück	11	0	16
9	Meppen II	11	−2	16
10	Verden 04	12	+1	13
11	Nordhorn	12	−13	13
12	Germania Egestorf	10	−9	9
13	Hemmingen	11	−20	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	−5	6
15	Vorsfelde	11	−19	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	10	−14	3