Germania Egestorf v Vorsfelde prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Germania EgestorfDrawVorsfelde

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Germania Egestorf 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Germania Egestorf are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Germania Egestorf 60%, draw 23%, Vorsfelde 17%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Germania Egestorf v VorsfeldeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Germania Egestorf win60%

Draw23%

Vorsfelde win17%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Germania Egestorf

Vorsfelde

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Germania Egestorf	10	−9	9
15	Vorsfelde	11	−19	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · germania egestorf winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Germania Egestorf a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Germania Egestorf v Vorsfelde~~2.01 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 9 v 5~~12 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Germania Egestorf win	60%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Vorsfelde win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Germania Egestorf or draw	83%	–	–
Germania Egestorf clean sheet	38%	–	–
Vorsfelde clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 6.3 4.1 2.5 1 9.3 10.7 4.8 2 10.0 9.6 4.7 3 6.7 6.4 3.1 4 3.5 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Germania Egestorf down, Vorsfelde across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,424 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.9% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.25 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Germania Egestorf at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Vorsfelde away: 1.00 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.01 goals for Germania Egestorf, 0.98 for Vorsfelde. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.25

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GER 1–0 VOR · VOR 1–1 GER · VOR 1–0 GER · GER 1–0 VOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 6 Sept

GERMANIA EGESTORF

LLWWLD0–3 · 1–8 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 0–1 · 2–2

VORSFELDE

LDDLLL0–5 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Braunschw. II	12	+18	26
2	Heeslinger SC	11	+17	22
3	Spelle-Venhaus	11	+11	22
4	Wilhelmshaven	10	+13	21
5	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
6	Borussia Hildesheim	11	+5	20
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17
8	Bersenbrück	11	0	16
9	Meppen II	11	−2	16
10	Verden 04	12	+1	13
11	Nordhorn	12	−13	13
12	Germania Egestorf	10	−9	9
13	Hemmingen	10	−19	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	−5	6
15	Vorsfelde	11	−19	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	10	−14	3