Home › Football › Oberliga - Niedersachsen › Germania Egestorf v Spelle-Venhaus

Germania Egestorf v Spelle-Venhaus

Germania Egestorf

0–1Full time

Spelle-Venhaus

Oberliga - Niedersachsen · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Germania Egestorf 0–1 Spelle-Venhaus GERMANIA EGESTORF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Germania Egestorf win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.624

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

Germania EgestorfDrawSpelle-Venhaus

Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time

Full time · Germania Egestorf 0–1 Spelle-Venhaus

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Germania Egestorf

Spelle-Venhaus

14Days since last match14

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Spelle-Venhaus	8	+6	15
12	Germania Egestorf	8	−8	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Germania Egestorf win39%

Draw25%

Spelle-Venhaus win36%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · germania egestorf winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Germania Egestorf a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Germania Egestorf win	39%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Spelle-Venhaus win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Germania Egestorf or draw	64%	–	–
Germania Egestorf clean sheet	21%	–	–
Spelle-Venhaus clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.2 5.6 5.0 2.6 1 5.9 11.1 7.9 4.2 2 5.5 8.3 6.4 3.4 3 3.0 4.6 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Germania Egestorf down, Spelle-Venhaus across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,410 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.6% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Germania Egestorf at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Spelle-Venhaus away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Germania Egestorf, 1.57 for Spelle-Venhaus. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~GER 1–0 SPE · SPE 0–2 GER · SPE 0–1 GER · GER 2–1 SPE

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen

GERMANIA EGESTORF

LDLLWW0–2 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 1–8 · 3–1 · 4–0

SPELLE-VENHAUS

DWDDWL2–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	10	+17	21
2	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	+15	20
3	Wilhelmshaven	9	+13	20
4	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	9	+10	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	8	+7	18
6	Spelle-Venhaus	8	+6	15
7	BW Lohne	9	+4	14
8	Bersenbrück	9	+2	13
9	Nordhorn	10	−13	11
10	Verden 04	10	−2	10
11	Meppen II	9	−5	10
12	Germania Egestorf	8	−8	8
13	Hemmingen	9	−15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	8	−3	5
15	Vorsfelde	9	−15	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	−13	3