BW Lohne v Lüneburger SK Hansa prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 20:08

BW Lohne 3–1 Lüneburger SK Hansa BW LOHNE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said BW Lohne win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.353

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

BW Lohne are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: BW Lohne 51%, draw 23%, Lüneburger SK Hansa 25%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on BW Lohne v Lüneburger SK HansaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

BW Lohne win51%

Draw23%

Lüneburger SK Hansa win25%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

BW Lohne

Lüneburger SK Hansa

8Days since last match6

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	BW Lohne	9	+4	14
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	9	−3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bw lohne winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make BW Lohne a 51% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · BW Lohne v Lüneburger SK Hansa~~1.99 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D4 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 6~~7 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
BW Lohne win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Lüneburger SK Hansa win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
BW Lohne or draw	75%	–	–
BW Lohne clean sheet	27%	–	–
Lüneburger SK Hansa clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.8 4.2 3.3 1 6.5 10.2 6.2 2.9 2 7.1 9.0 6.0 2.7 3 4.7 5.9 3.9 4 2.4 3.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+BW Lohne down, Lüneburger SK Hansa across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,414 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.7% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

BW Lohne at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Lüneburger SK Hansa away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.99 goals for BW Lohne, 1.33 for Lüneburger SK Hansa. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 29 Aug

BW LOHNE

WDWLWL3–1 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–3

LÜNEBURGER SK HANSA

DLLDDD2–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	10	+17	21
2	Wilhelmshaven	10	+13	21
3	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
4	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	+15	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	9	+7	19
6	Spelle-Venhaus	9	+7	18
7	BW Lohne	9	+4	14
8	Bersenbrück	9	+2	13
9	Meppen II	10	−3	13
10	Nordhorn	10	−13	11
11	Verden 04	10	−2	10
12	Germania Egestorf	9	−9	8
13	Hemmingen	9	−15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	9	−3	6
15	Vorsfelde	10	−17	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	−13	3