Borussia Hildesheim v Heeslinger SC prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Borussia Hildesheim 0–0 Heeslinger SC HEESLINGER SC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Heeslinger SC win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.886

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Heeslinger SC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Borussia Hildesheim 34%, draw 23%, Heeslinger SC 43%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Borussia Hildesheim v Heeslinger SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Borussia Hildesheim win34%

Draw23%

Heeslinger SC win43%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundNiedersachsen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Borussia Hildesheim

Heeslinger SC

7Days since last match9

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Niedersachsen

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heeslinger sc winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Heeslinger SC a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Borussia Hildesheim v Heeslinger SC~~1.67 – 1.89

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 28 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 19 v 21~~5 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Borussia Hildesheim win	34%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Heeslinger SC win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Borussia Hildesheim or draw	57%	–	–
Borussia Hildesheim clean sheet	16%	–	–
Heeslinger SC clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.8 4.7 5.1 3.2 1 4.1 9.7 8.2 5.2 2.5 2 4.1 7.4 6.8 4.3 2.1 3 2.3 4.1 3.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Borussia Hildesheim down, Heeslinger SC across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,415 Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niedersachsen matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.1% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Borussia Hildesheim at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Heeslinger SC away: 3.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Borussia Hildesheim, 1.89 for Heeslinger SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~HEE 5–0 BOR · BOR 0–2 HEE · BOR 1–2 HEE · HEE 0–1 BOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niedersachsen this season · since 28 Aug

BORUSSIA HILDESHEIM

WWWWWD3–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 0–0

HEESLINGER SC

WDWDLW3–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 3–3 · 1–4 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Heeslinger SC	10	+17	21
2	Wilhelmshaven	10	+13	21
3	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	10	+10	21
4	Eintracht Braunschw. II	10	+15	20
5	Borussia Hildesheim	9	+7	19
6	Spelle-Venhaus	9	+7	18
7	BW Lohne	10	+6	17
8	Bersenbrück	9	+2	13
9	Meppen II	10	−3	13
10	Nordhorn	10	−13	11
11	Verden 04	10	−2	10
12	Germania Egestorf	9	−9	8
13	Hemmingen	9	−15	7
14	Lüneburger SK Hansa	10	−5	6
15	Vorsfelde	10	−17	5
16	Drochtersen/Assel II	9	−13	3