Wuppertaler SV v SW Essen prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01

Wuppertaler SV 1–0 SW Essen WUPPERTALER SV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wuppertaler SV win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.363

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wuppertaler SV are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wuppertaler SV 51%, draw 23%, SW Essen 26%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Wuppertaler SV v SW EssenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Wuppertaler SV win51%

Draw23%

SW Essen win26%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:30

RoundNiederrhein · matchday 10

VenueStadion am Zoo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wuppertaler SV

SW Essen

5Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Wuppertaler SV	9	+4	10
15	SW Essen	9	−10	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wuppertaler sv winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Wuppertaler SV a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wuppertaler SV v SW Essen~~1.89 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 6~~13 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Wuppertaler SV win

Published at 47%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wuppertaler SV win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
SW Essen win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Wuppertaler SV or draw	74%	–	–
Wuppertaler SV clean sheet	28%	–	–
SW Essen clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 5.0 5.1 3.6 1 7.6 10.5 6.4 2.8 2 7.4 9.2 5.9 2.5 3 4.7 5.8 3.7 4 2.3 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wuppertaler SV down, SW Essen across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,777 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.1% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Wuppertaler SV at home: 2.25 scored, 1.25 conceded a game (last 4). SW Essen away: 1.67 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.89 goals for Wuppertaler SV, 1.28 for SW Essen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 4 Sept

WUPPERTALER SV

LLDWWW0–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 4–0 · 3–0

SW ESSEN

WDLLDL1–0 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	9	+21	23
2	SSVg Velbert	9	+10	21
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	9	+10	17
4	BW Dingden	9	+2	16
5	SF Baumberg	9	+2	15
6	Solingen-Wald	9	−3	15
7	SC St. Tönis	9	+4	14
8	Germania Ratingen	9	+3	14
9	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	+9	13
10	Sonsbeck	9	+2	13
11	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	9	−1	13
12	Monheim	9	+4	12
13	Wuppertaler SV	9	+4	10
14	Scherpenberg	9	−10	8
15	SW Essen	9	−10	6
16	Büderich	9	−14	6
17	Meerbusch	9	−12	5
18	Holzheimer SG	9	−21	4