Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. v KFC Uerdingen 05 prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. 1–1 KFC Uerdingen 05 KFC UERDINGEN 05 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said KFC Uerdingen 05 win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.853

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KFC Uerdingen 05 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. 33%, draw 25%, KFC Uerdingen 05 42%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. v KFC Uerdingen 05Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. win33%

Draw25%

KFC Uerdingen 05 win42%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundNiederrhein · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.

KFC Uerdingen 05

7Days since last match9

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	+9	13
12	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	9	−1	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kfc uerdingen 05 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:40 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make KFC Uerdingen 05 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. v KFC Uerdingen 05~~1.42 – 1.64

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 9 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 13~~12 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · KFC Uerdingen 05 win

Published at 41%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. win	33%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
KFC Uerdingen 05 win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. or draw	58%	–	–
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. clean sheet	20%	–	–
KFC Uerdingen 05 clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.5 7.3 6.3 3.5 1 6.2 11.3 8.7 4.8 2.0 2 4.8 7.6 6.1 3.4 3 2.3 3.6 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. down, KFC Uerdingen 05 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,781 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.8% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. at home: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). KFC Uerdingen 05 away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Viktoria Jüchen-Garz., 1.64 for KFC Uerdingen 05. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KFC 1–2 VIK · VIK 1–1 KFC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 9 Sept

VIKTORIA JÜCHEN-GARZ.

LDWWWL1–3 · 4–4 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 2–3

KFC UERDINGEN 05

WDLWLL2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	9	+21	23
2	SSVg Velbert	9	+10	21
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	10	+12	20
4	Sonsbeck	10	+4	16
5	SF Baumberg	10	+2	16
6	BW Dingden	10	0	16
7	Solingen-Wald	9	−3	15
8	SC St. Tönis	9	+4	14
9	Germania Ratingen	10	+1	14
10	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	+9	13
11	Wuppertaler SV	10	+5	13
12	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	9	−1	13
13	Monheim	9	+4	12
14	Scherpenberg	9	−10	8
15	Büderich	10	−14	7
16	SW Essen	10	−11	6
17	Meerbusch	9	−12	5
18	Holzheimer SG	9	−21	4