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SW Essen v Germania Ratingen

SW Essen

0–3Full time

Germania Ratingen

Oberliga - Niederrhein · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 19:03

SW Essen 0–3 Germania Ratingen GERMANIA RATINGEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Germania Ratingen win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.517

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

SW Essen win35%

Draw23%

Germania Ratingen win42%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · germania ratingen winPublished 10 Oct 19:09

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Germania Ratingen a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SW Essen win	35%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Germania Ratingen win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
SW Essen or draw	58%	–	–
SW Essen clean sheet	17%	–	–
Germania Ratingen clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.7 5.3 5.1 3.1 1 4.9 9.7 8.2 5.0 2.3 2 4.3 7.6 6.7 4.1 3 2.4 4.2 3.8 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SW Essen down, Germania Ratingen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,770 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.0% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.10 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SW Essen at home: 1.17 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). Germania Ratingen away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for SW Essen, 1.82 for Germania Ratingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.10

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SWE 0–1 GER · GER 2–0 SWE · GER 1–2 SWE · SWE 4–2 GER

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein

SW ESSEN

DWDLLD1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 1–1

GERMANIA RATINGEN

DDDLWW0–0 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	8	+21	22
2	SSVg Velbert	8	+9	18
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	9	+10	17
4	Solingen-Wald	9	−3	15
5	SC St. Tönis	8	+5	14
6	SF Baumberg	8	+2	14
7	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	+9	13
8	Sonsbeck	8	+4	13
9	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	8	0	13
10	BW Dingden	8	−1	13
11	Germania Ratingen	8	0	11
12	Monheim	8	+2	9
13	Scherpenberg	8	−7	8
14	Wuppertaler SV	8	+1	7
15	SW Essen	8	−7	6
16	Büderich	9	−14	6
17	Holzheimer SG	8	−18	4
18	Meerbusch	8	−13	2