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SSVg Velbert v SC St. Tönis
SSVg VelbertSC St. TönisOberliga - Niederrhein · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
SSVg Velbert win56%SC St. Tönis win24%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00
Match timeline
All events
SSVg VelbertMINSC St. TönisEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
SSVg Velbert
SC St. Tönis
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 | SC St. Tönis | 8 | +5 | 14 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make SSVg Velbert a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–1.5.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SSVg Velbert win | 56% | 48% | +8 |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | −2 |
| SC St. Tönis win | 24% | 31% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 73% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 71% | 72% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 53% | +3 |
| SSVg Velbert or draw | 76% | 69% | +6 |
| SSVg Velbert clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| SC St. Tönis clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein
SSVG VELBERT
SC ST. TÖNIS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Schonnebeck | 8 | +21 | 22 |
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 9 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 |  Solingen-Wald | 9 | −3 | 15 |
| 5 | SC St. Tönis | 8 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Germania Ratingen | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  SF Baumberg | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |  KFC Uerdingen 05 | 9 | +9 | 13 |
| 9 |  Sonsbeck | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  BW Dingden | 8 | −1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Monheim | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Scherpenberg | 8 | −7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Wuppertaler SV | 8 | +1 | 7 |
| 15 |  SW Essen | 9 | −10 | 6 |
| 16 |  Büderich | 9 | −14 | 6 |
| 17 |  Holzheimer SG | 8 | −18 | 4 |
| 18 |  Meerbusch | 8 | −13 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.