Scherpenberg v Büderich prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ScherpenbergDrawBüderich

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Scherpenberg 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Scherpenberg just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Scherpenberg 40%, draw 21%, Büderich 39%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Scherpenberg v BüderichBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Scherpenberg win40%

Draw21%

Büderich win39%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundNiederrhein · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Scherpenberg

Büderich

7Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Scherpenberg	10	−13	8
15	Büderich	10	−14	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · scherpenberg winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Scherpenberg a 40% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Scherpenberg v Büderich~~2.02 – 1.98

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 11 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 7~~14 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Scherpenberg win	40%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Büderich win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Scherpenberg or draw	61%	–	–
Scherpenberg clean sheet	14%	–	–
Büderich clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.7%

0123450 2.4 3.5 3.7 2.5 1 3.5 7.7 7.1 4.7 2.4 2 3.8 7.2 7.0 4.6 2.3 3 2.5 4.8 4.7 3.1 4 2.5 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Scherpenberg down, Büderich across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,789 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.9% of games this season, across 93 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Scherpenberg at home: 1.60 scored, 1.80 conceded a game (last 5). Büderich away: 1.83 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.02 goals for Scherpenberg, 1.98 for Büderich. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 11 Sept

SCHERPENBERG

LLWLLL1–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 1–4

BÜDERICH

LLLLDD1–2 · 0–3 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	11	+27	29
2	SSVg Velbert	10	+11	24
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	11	+12	21
4	Monheim	11	+7	18
5	SC St. Tönis	11	+5	18
6	Sonsbeck	10	+4	16
7	SF Baumberg	10	+2	16
8	BW Dingden	10	0	16
9	Solingen-Wald	10	−4	15
10	KFC Uerdingen 05	11	+8	14
11	Germania Ratingen	10	+1	14
12	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	10	−1	14
13	Wuppertaler SV	10	+5	13
14	Scherpenberg	10	−13	8
15	Büderich	10	−14	7
16	SW Essen	11	−14	6
17	Meerbusch	10	−14	5
18	Holzheimer SG	10	−22	4