Meerbusch v Germania Ratingen prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MeerbuschDrawGermania Ratingen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Germania Ratingen 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Germania Ratingen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Meerbusch 29%, draw 22%, Germania Ratingen 50%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Meerbusch v Germania RatingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Meerbusch win29%

Draw22%

Germania Ratingen win50%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundNiederrhein · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Meerbusch

Germania Ratingen

7Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Germania Ratingen	10	+1	14
17	Meerbusch	10	−14	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · germania ratingen winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Germania Ratingen a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Meerbusch v Germania Ratingen~~1.54 – 2.08

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 11 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 14~~17 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Meerbusch win	29%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Germania Ratingen win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Meerbusch or draw	50%	–	–
Meerbusch clean sheet	13%	–	–
Germania Ratingen clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.3 5.3 5.8 4.0 2.1 1 3.8 8.9 8.7 6.0 3.2 2 3.3 6.5 6.6 4.6 2.4 3 3.4 3.4 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Meerbusch down, Germania Ratingen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,787 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.3% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.40 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Meerbusch at home: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Germania Ratingen away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Meerbusch, 2.08 for Germania Ratingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.40

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~GER 2–2 MEE · MEE 1–3 GER · GER 2–1 MEE · MEE 1–1 GER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 11 Sept

MEERBUSCH

DLLLWL0–0 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 3–4 · 3–2 · 2–4

GERMANIA RATINGEN

DLWWWL3–3 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 3–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	10	+24	26
2	SSVg Velbert	10	+11	24
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	11	+12	21
4	SC St. Tönis	11	+5	18
5	Sonsbeck	10	+4	16
6	SF Baumberg	10	+2	16
7	BW Dingden	10	0	16
8	Monheim	10	+6	15
9	Solingen-Wald	10	−4	15
10	KFC Uerdingen 05	10	+9	14
11	Germania Ratingen	10	+1	14
12	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	10	−1	14
13	Wuppertaler SV	10	+5	13
14	Scherpenberg	10	−13	8
15	Büderich	10	−14	7
16	SW Essen	10	−11	6
17	Meerbusch	10	−14	5
18	Holzheimer SG	10	−22	4