KFC Uerdingen 05 v Monheim prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48

KFC Uerdingen 05 0–1 Monheim KFC UERDINGEN 05 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said KFC Uerdingen 05 win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.950

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KFC Uerdingen 05 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: KFC Uerdingen 05 54%, draw 23%, Monheim 23%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on KFC Uerdingen 05 v MonheimBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

KFC Uerdingen 05 win54%

Draw23%

Monheim win23%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

RoundNiederrhein · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

KFC Uerdingen 05

Monheim

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Monheim	10	+6	15
10	KFC Uerdingen 05	10	+9	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kfc uerdingen 05 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make KFC Uerdingen 05 a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · KFC Uerdingen 05 v Monheim~~1.94 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 13 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 15~~10 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · KFC Uerdingen 05 win

Published at 55%, 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
KFC Uerdingen 05 win	54%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Monheim win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
KFC Uerdingen 05 or draw	77%	–	–
KFC Uerdingen 05 clean sheet	32%	–	–
Monheim clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 5.2 4.9 3.1 1 8.3 10.5 5.8 2.3 2 8.4 9.5 5.6 2.2 3 5.4 6.1 3.6 4 2.7 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+KFC Uerdingen 05 down, Monheim across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,787 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.3% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

KFC Uerdingen 05 at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Monheim away: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for KFC Uerdingen 05, 1.17 for Monheim. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MON 1–2 KFC · KFC 5–2 MON · KFC 2–0 MON · MON 2–2 KFC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 13 Sept

KFC UERDINGEN 05

DLWLLD1–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 1–1

MONHEIM

LLLDWW1–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	10	+24	26
2	SSVg Velbert	10	+11	24
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	11	+12	21
4	SC St. Tönis	11	+5	18
5	Sonsbeck	10	+4	16
6	SF Baumberg	10	+2	16
7	BW Dingden	10	0	16
8	Monheim	10	+6	15
9	Solingen-Wald	10	−4	15
10	KFC Uerdingen 05	10	+9	14
11	Germania Ratingen	10	+1	14
12	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	10	−1	14
13	Wuppertaler SV	10	+5	13
14	Scherpenberg	10	−13	8
15	Büderich	10	−14	7
16	SW Essen	10	−11	6
17	Meerbusch	10	−14	5
18	Holzheimer SG	10	−22	4