Germania Ratingen v Sonsbeck prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01

Germania Ratingen 3–5 Sonsbeck GERMANIA RATINGEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Germania Ratingen win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.966

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Germania Ratingen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Germania Ratingen 56%, draw 22%, Sonsbeck 22%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Germania Ratingen v SonsbeckBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Germania Ratingen win56%

Draw22%

Sonsbeck win22%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:30

RoundNiederrhein · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Germania Ratingen

Sonsbeck

6Days since last match5

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Germania Ratingen	9	+3	14
10	Sonsbeck	9	+2	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · germania ratingen winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Germania Ratingen a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Germania Ratingen v Sonsbeck~~2.05 – 1.22

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 13~~8 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Germania Ratingen win

Published at 54%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Germania Ratingen win	56%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Sonsbeck win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Germania Ratingen or draw	78%	–	–
Germania Ratingen clean sheet	30%	–	–
Sonsbeck clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.5 4.3 2.9 1 7.5 9.8 5.7 2.4 2 8.0 9.5 5.7 2.4 3 5.4 6.4 3.9 4 2.8 3.4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Germania Ratingen down, Sonsbeck across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,777 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.1% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Germania Ratingen at home: 2.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sonsbeck away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.05 goals for Germania Ratingen, 1.22 for Sonsbeck. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~SON 0–1 GER · GER 3–2 SON · SON 1–0 GER · GER 1–0 SON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 4 Sept

GERMANIA RATINGEN

DDLWWW1–1 · 3–3 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–0

SONSBECK

WDWWLL4–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	9	+21	23
2	SSVg Velbert	9	+10	21
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	9	+10	17
4	BW Dingden	9	+2	16
5	SF Baumberg	9	+2	15
6	Solingen-Wald	9	−3	15
7	SC St. Tönis	9	+4	14
8	Germania Ratingen	9	+3	14
9	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	+9	13
10	Sonsbeck	9	+2	13
11	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	9	−1	13
12	Monheim	9	+4	12
13	Wuppertaler SV	9	+4	10
14	Scherpenberg	9	−10	8
15	SW Essen	9	−10	6
16	Büderich	9	−14	6
17	Meerbusch	9	−12	5
18	Holzheimer SG	9	−21	4