BW Dingden v Fortuna Düsseldorf II prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:30

BW Dingden 0–2 Fortuna Düsseldorf II FORTUNA DÜSSELDORF II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fortuna Düsseldorf II win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.539

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fortuna Düsseldorf II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: BW Dingden 34%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 40%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on BW Dingden v Fortuna Düsseldorf IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

BW Dingden win34%

Draw26%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II win40%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00

RoundNiederrhein · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

BW Dingden

Fortuna Düsseldorf II

5Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Niederrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	9	+10	17
4	BW Dingden	9	+2	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fortuna düsseldorf ii winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Fortuna Düsseldorf II a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · BW Dingden v Fortuna Düsseldorf II~~1.38 – 1.52

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 4 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 17~~4 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Fortuna Düsseldorf II win

Published at 41%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
BW Dingden win	34%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Fortuna Düsseldorf II win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
BW Dingden or draw	60%	–	–
BW Dingden clean sheet	23%	–	–
Fortuna Düsseldorf II clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.4 8.0 6.4 3.3 1 7.2 11.8 8.5 4.3 2 5.3 7.7 5.8 3.0 3 2.5 3.6 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+BW Dingden down, Fortuna Düsseldorf II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,777 Oberliga - Niederrhein matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Niederrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.1% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

BW Dingden at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Fortuna Düsseldorf II away: 2.40 scored, 1.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for BW Dingden, 1.52 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Niederrhein this season · since 4 Sept

BW DINGDEN

WLWLWW2–0 · 0–5 · 3–0 · 1–5 · 1–0 · 4–1

FORTUNA DÜSSELDORF II

LWDWLD1–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 2–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Schonnebeck	9	+21	23
2	SSVg Velbert	9	+10	21
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	9	+10	17
4	BW Dingden	9	+2	16
5	SF Baumberg	9	+2	15
6	Solingen-Wald	9	−3	15
7	SC St. Tönis	9	+4	14
8	Germania Ratingen	9	+3	14
9	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	+9	13
10	Sonsbeck	9	+2	13
11	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	9	−1	13
12	Monheim	9	+4	12
13	Wuppertaler SV	9	+4	10
14	Scherpenberg	9	−10	8
15	SW Essen	9	−10	6
16	Büderich	9	−14	6
17	Meerbusch	9	−12	5
18	Holzheimer SG	9	−21	4