VfL Vichttal v Siegburger SV prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

VfL Vichttal 2–3 Siegburger SV VFL VICHTTAL WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said VfL Vichttal win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.843

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

VfL Vichttal win53%

Draw19%

Siegburger SV win28%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:45

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

VfL Vichttal

Siegburger SV

7Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	VfL Vichttal	6	+5	8
14	Siegburger SV	6	−5	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vfl vichttal winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

53% The market–

Us53%

We make VfL Vichttal a 53% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
VfL Vichttal win	53%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Siegburger SV win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	59%	–	–
VfL Vichttal or draw	72%	–	–
VfL Vichttal clean sheet	19%	–	–
Siegburger SV clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.7%

0123450 2.7 2.4 1 3.8 6.7 5.5 3.2 2 4.7 7.7 6.5 3.8 3 3.7 6.1 5.2 3.0 4 2.3 3.8 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+VfL Vichttal down, Siegburger SV across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,293 Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 75.0% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.60 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

VfL Vichttal at home: 2.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Siegburger SV away: 1.67 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.45 goals for VfL Vichttal, 1.74 for Siegburger SV. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~VFL 3–2 SIE · SIE 4–0 VFL · SIE 5–1 VFL · VFL 0–1 SIE

Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein

VFL VICHTTAL

WDDLWL6–2 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 3–4 · 3–0 · 0–1

SIEGBURGER SV

WLDDLL2–0 · 2–5 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wegberg-Beeck	6	+12	16
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	6	+9	13
3	Fortuna Köln II	5	+6	12
4	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	6	+3	11
5	SSV Merten	6	+9	10
6	Chlodwig Zulpich	6	−1	10
7	Hürth	6	+1	9
8	Bornheim	7	0	9
9	VfL Vichttal	6	+5	8
10	Frechen	6	0	8
11	Düren Merzenich	6	−2	7
12	Hennef 05	6	−3	7
13	Porz	6	−4	5
14	Siegburger SV	6	−5	5
15	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	7	−9	4
16	TuS BW Königsdorf	5	−21	0