Siegburger SV v Hürth prediction · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 17:17

Siegburger SV 4–0 Hürth SIEGBURGER SV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Siegburger SV win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.247

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Siegburger SV are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Siegburger SV 59%, draw 22%, Hürth 19%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Siegburger SV v HürthBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Siegburger SV win59%

Draw22%

Hürth win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30

RoundMittelrhein · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Siegburger SV

Hürth

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Hürth	7	0	9
12	Siegburger SV	7	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · siegburger sv winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Siegburger SV a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Siegburger SV v Hürth~~1.99 – 1.00

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 9~~12 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Siegburger SV win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Hürth win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Siegburger SV or draw	81%	–	–
Siegburger SV clean sheet	38%	–	–
Hürth clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.0%

0123450 6.1 4.9 2.6 1 10.0 9.9 4.8 2 9.8 9.3 4.7 3 6.5 6.2 3.1 4 3.4 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Siegburger SV down, Hürth across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,300 Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.88 goals a meeting; 1 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Siegburger SV at home: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Hürth away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.99 goals for Siegburger SV, 1.00 for Hürth. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.88

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~SIE 3–1 HUR · HUR 1–1 SIE · HUR 1–0 SIE · SIE 1–0 HUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 6 Sept

SIEGBURGER SV

LDDLLW2–5 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 3–2

HÜRTH

DWLDWL0–0 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Hohkeppel	7	+10	16
2	Wegberg-Beeck	7	+9	16
3	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	7	+4	14
4	SSV Merten	7	+12	13
5	Fortuna Köln II	6	+5	12
6	Frechen	7	+1	11
7	Düren Merzenich	7	0	10
8	Chlodwig Zulpich	7	−2	10
9	Bornheim	7	0	9
10	Hürth	7	0	9
11	VfL Vichttal	7	+4	8
12	Siegburger SV	7	−4	8
13	Hennef 05	7	−5	7
14	Porz	7	−5	5
15	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	7	−9	4
16	TuS BW Königsdorf	6	−20	3