Lindenthal-Hohenlind v VfL Vichttal prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 17:17

Lindenthal-Hohenlind 3–6 VfL Vichttal VFL VICHTTAL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said VfL Vichttal win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.540

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with VfL Vichttal just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Lindenthal-Hohenlind 38%, draw 21%, VfL Vichttal 41%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Lindenthal-Hohenlind v VfL VichttalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Lindenthal-Hohenlind win38%

Draw21%

VfL Vichttal win41%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30

RoundMittelrhein · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lindenthal-Hohenlind

VfL Vichttal

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	7	+4	14
11	VfL Vichttal	7	+4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vfl vichttal winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make VfL Vichttal a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lindenthal-Hohenlind v VfL Vichttal~~1.94 – 2.01

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 8~~3 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lindenthal-Hohenlind win	38%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
VfL Vichttal win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Lindenthal-Hohenlind or draw	59%	–	–
Lindenthal-Hohenlind clean sheet	14%	–	–
VfL Vichttal clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.7%

0123450 2.5 3.9 4.0 2.7 1 3.7 7.7 7.3 4.8 2.5 2 3.7 7.0 6.8 4.5 2.3 3 2.4 4.6 4.4 2.9 4 2.3 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lindenthal-Hohenlind down, VfL Vichttal across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,300 Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Lindenthal-Hohenlind at home: 3.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). VfL Vichttal away: 3.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Lindenthal-Hohenlind, 2.01 for VfL Vichttal. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 6 Sept

LINDENTHAL-HOHENLIND

LWWDWW0–5 · 5–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 3–2

VFL VICHTTAL

DDLWLL2–2 · 2–2 · 3–4 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Hohkeppel	7	+10	16
2	Wegberg-Beeck	7	+9	16
3	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	7	+4	14
4	SSV Merten	7	+12	13
5	Fortuna Köln II	6	+5	12
6	Frechen	7	+1	11
7	Düren Merzenich	7	0	10
8	Chlodwig Zulpich	7	−2	10
9	Bornheim	7	0	9
10	Hürth	7	0	9
11	VfL Vichttal	7	+4	8
12	Siegburger SV	7	−4	8
13	Hennef 05	7	−5	7
14	Porz	7	−5	5
15	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	7	−9	4
16	TuS BW Königsdorf	6	−20	3