Hürth v Lindenthal-Hohenlind prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HürthDrawLindenthal-Hohenlind

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Lindenthal-Hohenlind 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lindenthal-Hohenlind are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hürth 34%, draw 25%, Lindenthal-Hohenlind 41%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Hürth v Lindenthal-HohenlindBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Hürth win34%

Draw25%

Lindenthal-Hohenlind win41%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:15

RoundMittelrhein · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hürth

Lindenthal-Hohenlind

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	8	+1	14
13	Hürth	8	−4	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lindenthal-hohenlind winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Lindenthal-Hohenlind a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hürth v Lindenthal-Hohenlind~~1.39 – 1.56

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 14~~13 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hürth win	34%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Lindenthal-Hohenlind win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Hürth or draw	59%	–	–
Hürth clean sheet	22%	–	–
Lindenthal-Hohenlind clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 6.4 8.2 6.4 3.4 1 7.1 11.1 8.2 4.4 2 5.0 7.4 5.7 3.0 3 2.4 3.6 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hürth down, Lindenthal-Hohenlind across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,309 Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.7% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Hürth at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lindenthal-Hohenlind away: 1.50 scored, 1.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Hürth, 1.56 for Lindenthal-Hohenlind. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 13 Sept

HÜRTH

WLDWLL2–0 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–4

LINDENTHAL-HOHENLIND

WWDWWL5–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 3–6

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wegberg-Beeck	8	+11	19
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	8	+10	17
3	SSV Merten	8	+16	16
4	Düren Merzenich	9	+2	16
5	Frechen	8	+2	14
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	8	+1	14
7	Fortuna Köln II	7	+4	12
8	VfL Vichttal	8	+7	11
9	Siegburger SV	8	0	11
10	Chlodwig Zulpich	8	−4	10
11	Hennef 05	8	−4	10
12	Bornheim	8	−1	9
13	Hürth	8	−4	9
14	Porz	9	−7	5
15	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	8	−9	5
16	TuS BW Königsdorf	7	−24	3