Fortuna Köln II v VfL Vichttal prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Fortuna Köln IIDrawVfL Vichttal

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · VfL Vichttal 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

VfL Vichttal are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fortuna Köln II 38%, draw 20%, VfL Vichttal 43%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on Fortuna Köln II v VfL VichttalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Fortuna Köln II win38%

Draw20%

VfL Vichttal win43%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:30

RoundMittelrhein · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fortuna Köln II

VfL Vichttal

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Fortuna Köln II	7	+4	12
8	VfL Vichttal	8	+7	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vfl vichttal winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make VfL Vichttal a 43% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–2.3, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fortuna Köln II v VfL Vichttal~~2.12 – 2.27

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fortuna Köln II win	38%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
VfL Vichttal win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	77%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Fortuna Köln II or draw	57%	–	–
Fortuna Köln II clean sheet	11%	–	–
VfL Vichttal clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.7%

0123450 3.0 3.4 2.5 1 2.8 6.3 6.6 4.9 2.8 2 3.0 6.2 6.7 4.9 2.8 3 2.1 4.3 4.6 3.4 2.0 4 2.3 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fortuna Köln II down, VfL Vichttal across0–5 goals a side shown (93.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,309 Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.7% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.10 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fortuna Köln II at home: 3.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). VfL Vichttal away: 3.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for Fortuna Köln II, 2.27 for VfL Vichttal. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.10

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~VFL 3–2 FOR · FOR 1–2 VFL · FOR 2–3 VFL · VFL 1–3 FOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 6 Sept

FORTUNA KÖLN II

LWWWLL1–2 · 5–2 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 2–3 · 2–3

VFL VICHTTAL

DLWLLW2–2 · 3–4 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 6–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wegberg-Beeck	8	+11	19
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	8	+10	17
3	SSV Merten	8	+16	16
4	Düren Merzenich	9	+2	16
5	Frechen	8	+2	14
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	8	+1	14
7	Fortuna Köln II	7	+4	12
8	VfL Vichttal	8	+7	11
9	Siegburger SV	8	0	11
10	Chlodwig Zulpich	8	−4	10
11	Hennef 05	8	−4	10
12	Bornheim	8	−1	9
13	Hürth	8	−4	9
14	Porz	9	−7	5
15	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	8	−9	5
16	TuS BW Königsdorf	7	−24	3