Eintracht Hohkeppel v Frechen prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Eintracht HohkeppelDrawFrechen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Eintracht Hohkeppel 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eintracht Hohkeppel are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eintracht Hohkeppel 65%, draw 17%, Frechen 18%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Eintracht Hohkeppel v FrechenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Eintracht Hohkeppel win65%

Draw17%

Frechen win18%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:30

RoundMittelrhein · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eintracht Hohkeppel

Frechen

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Mittelrhein

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	8	+10	17
5	Frechen	8	+2	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eintracht hohkeppel winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Eintracht Hohkeppel a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eintracht Hohkeppel v Frechen~~2.77 – 1.42

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 13 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 14~~2 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eintracht Hohkeppel win	65%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Frechen win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	59%	–	–
Eintracht Hohkeppel or draw	82%	–	–
Eintracht Hohkeppel clean sheet	25%	–	–
Frechen clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.0%

0123450 2.2 1 4.4 6.3 4.3 2.0 2 5.9 8.0 5.6 2.7 3 5.3 7.2 5.0 2.4 4 3.7 5.0 3.5 5 2.1 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Eintracht Hohkeppel down, Frechen across0–5 goals a side shown (92.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,309 Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Mittelrhein matches have gone over 2.5 in 79.7% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.83 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eintracht Hohkeppel at home: 3.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Frechen away: 2.00 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.77 goals for Eintracht Hohkeppel, 1.42 for Frechen. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.83

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~FRE 1–5 EIN · EIN 4–0 FRE · FRE 0–3 EIN · EIN 2–1 FRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Mittelrhein this season · since 13 Sept

EINTRACHT HOHKEPPEL

WWWLWD3–0 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 1–6 · 4–3 · 2–2

FRECHEN

LDDWWW2–5 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wegberg-Beeck	8	+11	19
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	8	+10	17
3	SSV Merten	8	+16	16
4	Düren Merzenich	9	+2	16
5	Frechen	8	+2	14
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	8	+1	14
7	Fortuna Köln II	7	+4	12
8	VfL Vichttal	8	+7	11
9	Siegburger SV	8	0	11
10	Chlodwig Zulpich	8	−4	10
11	Hennef 05	8	−4	10
12	Bornheim	8	−1	9
13	Hürth	8	−4	9
14	Porz	9	−7	5
15	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	8	−9	5
16	TuS BW Königsdorf	7	−24	3