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Unter-Flockenbach v Hünfelder SV

Unter-Flockenbach

1–0Full time

Hünfelder SV

Oberliga - Hessen · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Unter-Flockenbach 1–0 Hünfelder SV UNTER-FLOCKENBACH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Unter-Flockenbach win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.458

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Unter-Flockenbach win45%

Draw21%

Hünfelder SV win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · unter-flockenbach winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Unter-Flockenbach a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–2.1, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Unter-Flockenbach win	45%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Hünfelder SV win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	79%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	64%	–	–
Unter-Flockenbach or draw	66%	–	–
Unter-Flockenbach clean sheet	13%	–	–
Hünfelder SV clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.9%

0123450 2.0 2.6 1 2.2 6.5 5.9 4.1 2.1 2 3.4 6.8 6.9 4.7 2.5 3 2.7 5.3 5.4 3.7 4 3.2 3.2 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Unter-Flockenbach down, Hünfelder SV across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,786 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.8% of games this season, across 108 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 6.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Unter-Flockenbach at home: 3.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hünfelder SV away: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.38 goals for Unter-Flockenbach, 2.06 for Hünfelder SV. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~6.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HUN 5–2 UNT · UNT 2–4 HUN

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen

UNTER-FLOCKENBACH

WWWWLL2–1 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 2–7 · 0–3

HÜNFELDER SV

DLLWLL0–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	12	+24	26
2	Unter-Flockenbach	12	+11	25
3	Eddersheim	12	+9	25
4	Friedberg	12	+6	21
5	Vfb Marburg	12	+3	20
6	Hadamar	12	+1	20
7	TuBa Pohlheim	12	0	20
8	Hünfelder SV	12	+2	19
9	Darmstadt 98 II	12	+10	18
10	Fernwald	12	+2	16
11	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	12	−7	14
12	Kassel	12	−11	14
13	Bayern Alzenau	12	−4	13
14	Baunatal	12	−7	12
15	Kassel 2	12	−4	11
16	1960 Hanau	12	−10	10
17	Hummetroth	12	−9	9
18	FC Gießen	12	−16	6