TuBa Pohlheim v Hünfelder SV prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TuBa PohlheimDrawHünfelder SV

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · TuBa Pohlheim 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

TuBa Pohlheim are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: TuBa Pohlheim 51%, draw 23%, Hünfelder SV 26%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on TuBa Pohlheim v Hünfelder SVBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

TuBa Pohlheim win51%

Draw23%

Hünfelder SV win26%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundHessen · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

TuBa Pohlheim

Hünfelder SV

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	TuBa Pohlheim	14	0	23
9	Hünfelder SV	14	−1	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tuba pohlheim winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make TuBa Pohlheim a 51% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · TuBa Pohlheim v Hünfelder SV~~2.12 – 1.48

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 23 v 19~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
TuBa Pohlheim win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Hünfelder SV win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
TuBa Pohlheim or draw	74%	–	–
TuBa Pohlheim clean sheet	23%	–	–
Hünfelder SV clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.8 3.3 3.1 1 5.0 9.4 6.3 3.1 2 6.1 8.9 6.6 3.3 3 4.3 6.3 4.6 2.3 4 2.3 3.3 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+TuBa Pohlheim down, Hünfelder SV across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,804 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

TuBa Pohlheim at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hünfelder SV away: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for TuBa Pohlheim, 1.48 for Hünfelder SV. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TUB 3–2 HUN · HUN 1–1 TUB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 12 Sept

TUBA POHLHEIM

WLLWLW3–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0

HÜNFELDER SV

LWLLLL1–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	14	+30	32
2	Unter-Flockenbach	14	+12	29
3	Eddersheim	14	+7	25
4	Friedberg	14	+6	24
5	Hadamar	14	+3	24
6	TuBa Pohlheim	14	0	23
7	Darmstadt 98 II	14	+13	21
8	Vfb Marburg	14	+1	21
9	Hünfelder SV	14	−1	19
10	Fernwald	14	+2	18
11	Kassel	14	−10	18
12	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	14	−8	17
13	Bayern Alzenau	14	−3	16
14	Baunatal	14	−5	16
15	1960 Hanau	14	−11	13
16	Hummetroth	14	−8	12
17	Kassel 2	14	−8	12
18	FC Gießen	14	−20	9