TuBa Pohlheim v Eintracht Stadtallendorf prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

TuBa Pohlheim 0–1 Eintracht Stadtallendorf EINTRACHT STADTALLENDORF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eintracht Stadtallendorf win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.489

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

TuBa Pohlheim win32%

Draw25%

Eintracht Stadtallendorf win43%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

TuBa Pohlheim

Eintracht Stadtallendorf

7Days since last match9

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	12	+24	26
7	TuBa Pohlheim	12	0	20

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eintracht stadtallendorf winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Eintracht Stadtallendorf a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
TuBa Pohlheim win	32%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Eintracht Stadtallendorf win	43%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
TuBa Pohlheim or draw	57%	–	–
TuBa Pohlheim clean sheet	18%	–	–
Eintracht Stadtallendorf clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.2 5.7 6.0 3.5 1 4.7 11.2 8.8 5.2 2.3 2 4.3 7.5 6.5 3.8 3 2.2 3.7 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+TuBa Pohlheim down, Eintracht Stadtallendorf across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,791 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.7% of games this season, across 113 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

TuBa Pohlheim at home: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Eintracht Stadtallendorf away: 3.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for TuBa Pohlheim, 1.77 for Eintracht Stadtallendorf. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EIN 0–0 TUB · TUB 2–2 EIN

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen

TUBA POHLHEIM

LDWLLW2–3 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–1

EINTRACHT STADTALLENDORF

WLWWWW5–0 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 7–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Unter-Flockenbach	13	+12	28
2	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	12	+24	26
3	Eddersheim	12	+9	25
4	Hadamar	13	+3	23
5	Friedberg	13	+4	21
6	Vfb Marburg	13	+1	20
7	TuBa Pohlheim	12	0	20
8	Hünfelder SV	13	+1	19
9	Darmstadt 98 II	12	+10	18
10	Fernwald	12	+2	16
11	Bayern Alzenau	13	−2	16
12	Baunatal	13	−5	15
13	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	12	−7	14
14	Kassel	12	−11	14
15	Kassel 2	12	−4	11
16	1960 Hanau	13	−12	10
17	Hummetroth	13	−10	9
18	FC Gießen	13	−15	9