Kassel 2 v Unter-Flockenbach prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 17:17

Kassel 2 2–2 Unter-Flockenbach KASSEL 2 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kassel 2 win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.886

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Kassel 2 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Kassel 2 40%, draw 23%, Unter-Flockenbach 37%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Kassel 2 v Unter-FlockenbachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kassel 2 win40%

Draw23%

Unter-Flockenbach win37%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:30

RoundHessen · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kassel 2

Unter-Flockenbach

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Unter-Flockenbach	13	+12	28
16	Kassel 2	13	−8	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kassel 2 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Kassel 2 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kassel 2 v Unter-Flockenbach~~1.90 – 1.83

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 9 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 28~~16 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kassel 2 win	40%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Unter-Flockenbach win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Kassel 2 or draw	63%	–	–
Kassel 2 clean sheet	17%	–	–
Unter-Flockenbach clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.6 3.6 4.1 2.5 1 3.8 9.2 7.5 4.6 2.1 2 4.4 7.7 7.0 4.2 3 2.8 4.9 4.4 2.7 4 2.4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kassel 2 down, Unter-Flockenbach across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,801 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.4% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kassel 2 at home: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Unter-Flockenbach away: 2.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for Kassel 2, 1.83 for Unter-Flockenbach. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 9 Sept

KASSEL 2

WLLLWL3–1 · 3–4 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–4

UNTER-FLOCKENBACH

WWWLLW3–0 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 2–7 · 0–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	14	+30	32
2	Unter-Flockenbach	13	+12	28
3	Eddersheim	13	+8	25
4	Friedberg	14	+6	24
5	Hadamar	14	+3	24
6	TuBa Pohlheim	14	0	23
7	Darmstadt 98 II	13	+14	21
8	Vfb Marburg	14	+1	21
9	Hünfelder SV	14	−1	19
10	Fernwald	14	+2	18
11	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	14	−8	17
12	Bayern Alzenau	14	−3	16
13	Baunatal	14	−5	16
14	Kassel	13	−11	15
15	Hummetroth	14	−8	12
16	Kassel 2	13	−8	11
17	1960 Hanau	13	−12	10
18	FC Gießen	14	−20	9