Hadamar v Eddersheim prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45

Hadamar 6–1 Eddersheim EDDERSHEIM WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eddersheim win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.626

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Eddersheim just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Hadamar 36%, draw 24%, Eddersheim 40%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Hadamar v EddersheimBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hadamar win36%

Draw24%

Eddersheim win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundHessen · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hadamar

Eddersheim

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Eddersheim	14	+7	25
5	Hadamar	14	+3	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eddersheim winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Eddersheim a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hadamar v Eddersheim~~1.74 – 1.85

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 24 v 25~~5 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Eddersheim win

Published at 41%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hadamar win	36%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Eddersheim win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Hadamar or draw	60%	–	–
Hadamar clean sheet	16%	–	–
Eddersheim clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.9 4.3 4.8 2.9 1 4.0 9.7 8.0 4.9 2.3 2 4.3 7.6 6.9 4.2 3 2.5 4.4 4.0 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hadamar down, Eddersheim across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,804 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.25 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hadamar at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Eddersheim away: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Hadamar, 1.85 for Eddersheim. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.25

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~HAD 3–2 EDD · EDD 3–0 HAD · EDD 4–0 HAD · HAD 1–4 EDD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 12 Sept

HADAMAR

WLWLWD3–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–2

EDDERSHEIM

WDWWLL4–2 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	14	+30	32
2	Unter-Flockenbach	14	+12	29
3	Eddersheim	14	+7	25
4	Friedberg	14	+6	24
5	Hadamar	14	+3	24
6	TuBa Pohlheim	14	0	23
7	Darmstadt 98 II	14	+13	21
8	Vfb Marburg	14	+1	21
9	Hünfelder SV	14	−1	19
10	Fernwald	14	+2	18
11	Kassel	14	−10	18
12	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	14	−8	17
13	Bayern Alzenau	14	−3	16
14	Baunatal	14	−5	16
15	1960 Hanau	14	−11	13
16	Hummetroth	14	−8	12
17	Kassel 2	14	−8	12
18	FC Gießen	14	−20	9