FC Gießen v Rot-Weiß Walldorf prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

FC Gießen 1–2 Rot-Weiß Walldorf FC GIESSEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Gießen win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.677

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Gießen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Gießen 45%, draw 21%, Rot-Weiß Walldorf 34%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on FC Gießen v Rot-Weiß WalldorfBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

FC Gießen win45%

Draw21%

Rot-Weiß Walldorf win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundHessen · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Gießen

Rot-Weiß Walldorf

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	14	−8	17
18	FC Gießen	14	−20	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc gießen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make FC Gießen a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–2.0, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Gießen v Rot-Weiß Walldorf~~2.25 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 17~~18 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Gießen win	45%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Rot-Weiß Walldorf win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	77%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
FC Gießen or draw	66%	–	–
FC Gießen clean sheet	14%	–	–
Rot-Weiß Walldorf clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.2%

0123450 2.3 2.3 2.9 1 2.7 7.2 6.3 4.2 2.1 2 3.8 7.2 7.0 4.6 2.3 3 2.8 5.4 5.2 3.4 4 3.1 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Gießen down, Rot-Weiß Walldorf across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,804 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.17 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Gießen at home: 2.33 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Rot-Weiß Walldorf away: 1.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.25 goals for FC Gießen, 1.97 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.17

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~FCG 3–2 ROT · ROT 4–4 FCG · FCG 2–1 ROT · ROT 1–2 FCG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 12 Sept

FC GIESSEN

WLLLWL4–3 · 0–5 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–5

ROT-WEISS WALLDORF

WWWDWL4–3 · 5–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	14	+30	32
2	Unter-Flockenbach	14	+12	29
3	Eddersheim	14	+7	25
4	Friedberg	14	+6	24
5	Hadamar	14	+3	24
6	TuBa Pohlheim	14	0	23
7	Darmstadt 98 II	14	+13	21
8	Vfb Marburg	14	+1	21
9	Hünfelder SV	14	−1	19
10	Fernwald	14	+2	18
11	Kassel	14	−10	18
12	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	14	−8	17
13	Bayern Alzenau	14	−3	16
14	Baunatal	14	−5	16
15	1960 Hanau	14	−11	13
16	Hummetroth	14	−8	12
17	Kassel 2	14	−8	12
18	FC Gießen	14	−20	9