Eintracht Stadtallendorf v FC Gießen prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Eintracht Stadtallendorf 5–0 FC Gießen EINTRACHT STADTALLENDORF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eintracht Stadtallendorf win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.248

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eintracht Stadtallendorf are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eintracht Stadtallendorf 59%, draw 22%, FC Gießen 19%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Eintracht Stadtallendorf v FC GießenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Eintracht Stadtallendorf win59%

Draw22%

FC Gießen win19%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundHessen · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eintracht Stadtallendorf

FC Gießen

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eintracht stadtallendorf winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Eintracht Stadtallendorf a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eintracht Stadtallendorf v FC Gießen~~2.18 – 1.15

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 9 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 29 v 9~~1 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eintracht Stadtallendorf win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
FC Gießen win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Eintracht Stadtallendorf or draw	81%	–	–
Eintracht Stadtallendorf clean sheet	32%	–	–
FC Gießen clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.8 3.2 2.5 1 6.9 10.0 5.2 2.0 2 8.5 9.5 5.5 2.1 3 6.1 6.9 3.9 4 3.4 3.8 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eintracht Stadtallendorf down, FC Gießen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,795 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eintracht Stadtallendorf at home: 2.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). FC Gießen away: 0.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.18 goals for Eintracht Stadtallendorf, 1.15 for FC Gießen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~FCG 0–2 EIN · EIN 2–2 FCG · FCG 3–0 EIN · EIN 0–2 FCG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 9 Sept

EINTRACHT STADTALLENDORF

LWWWWW0–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 7–2 · 2–1 · 1–0

FC GIESSEN

LWLLLW1–2 · 4–3 · 0–5 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	13	+25	29
2	Unter-Flockenbach	13	+12	28
3	Eddersheim	13	+8	25
4	Hadamar	13	+3	23
5	Darmstadt 98 II	13	+14	21
6	Friedberg	13	+4	21
7	Vfb Marburg	13	+1	20
8	TuBa Pohlheim	13	−1	20
9	Hünfelder SV	13	+1	19
10	Fernwald	13	+2	17
11	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	13	−6	17
12	Bayern Alzenau	13	−2	16
13	Baunatal	13	−5	15
14	Kassel	13	−11	15
15	Kassel 2	13	−8	11
16	1960 Hanau	13	−12	10
17	Hummetroth	13	−10	9
18	FC Gießen	13	−15	9