Eddersheim v Kassel prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02

Eddersheim 2–3 Kassel EDDERSHEIM WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eddersheim win~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.091

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eddersheim are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eddersheim 63%, draw 19%, Kassel 19%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Eddersheim v KasselBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Eddersheim win63%

Draw19%

Kassel win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundHessen · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eddersheim

Kassel

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Hessen

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Eddersheim	13	+8	25
14	Kassel	13	−11	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eddersheim winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Eddersheim a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eddersheim v Kassel~~2.66 – 1.43

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 8 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 25 v 15~~3 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eddersheim win	63%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Kassel win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Eddersheim or draw	81%	–	–
Eddersheim clean sheet	24%	–	–
Kassel clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.5 1 3.9 7.1 4.6 2.2 2 6.0 8.3 5.9 2.8 3 5.2 7.3 5.2 2.5 4 3.5 4.9 3.4 5 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Eddersheim down, Kassel across0–5 goals a side shown (93.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,801 Oberliga - Hessen matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Hessen matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.4% of games this season, across 123 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eddersheim at home: 2.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kassel away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.66 goals for Eddersheim, 1.43 for Kassel. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EDD 1–1 KAS · KAS 1–1 EDD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hessen this season · since 8 Sept

EDDERSHEIM

DWDWWL3–3 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

KASSEL

LWWDLD0–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eintracht Stadtallendorf	14	+30	32
2	Unter-Flockenbach	13	+12	28
3	Eddersheim	13	+8	25
4	Friedberg	14	+6	24
5	Hadamar	14	+3	24
6	TuBa Pohlheim	14	0	23
7	Darmstadt 98 II	13	+14	21
8	Vfb Marburg	14	+1	21
9	Hünfelder SV	14	−1	19
10	Fernwald	14	+2	18
11	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	14	−8	17
12	Bayern Alzenau	14	−3	16
13	Baunatal	14	−5	16
14	Kassel	13	−11	15
15	Hummetroth	14	−8	12
16	Kassel 2	13	−8	11
17	1960 Hanau	13	−12	10
18	FC Gießen	14	−20	9