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Teutonia Ottensen v Vorwärts-Wacker 04

Teutonia Ottensen

1–7Full time

Vorwärts-Wacker 04

Oberliga - Hamburg · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Teutonia Ottensen 1–7 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 TEUTONIA OTTENSEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Teutonia Ottensen win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.686

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Teutonia Ottensen win45%

Draw21%

Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win34%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:45

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · teutonia ottensen winPublished 9 Oct 21:03

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Teutonia Ottensen a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Teutonia Ottensen win	45%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Teutonia Ottensen or draw	66%	–	–
Teutonia Ottensen clean sheet	18%	–	–
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.3%

0123450 2.6 4.2 3.6 2.1 1 4.9 8.3 7.0 4.1 2 4.9 8.1 6.9 4.0 3 3.3 5.4 4.6 2.7 4 2.8 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Teutonia Ottensen down, Vorwärts-Wacker 04 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,598 Oberliga - Hamburg matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Hamburg matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.7% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Teutonia Ottensen at home: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Vorwärts-Wacker 04 away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.01 goals for Teutonia Ottensen, 1.72 for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~VOR 2–0 TEU

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hamburg

TEUTONIA OTTENSEN

WLLDWL5–0 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 6–3 · 1–4

VORWÄRTS-WACKER 04

WDWDWL1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tus Dassendorf	10	+18	23
2	Paloma	10	+9	22
3	Victoria Hamburg	10	+7	19
4	Altona 93	9	+4	17
5	HT16	10	+8	16
6	Pinneberg	10	+4	16
7	Buchholz	10	−3	15
8	Vorwärts-Wacker 04	10	−4	15
9	Niendorfer TSV	10	−4	14
10	ETSV Hamburg	8	+3	13
11	Sasel	10	−3	13
12	Süderelbe	10	+1	12
13	HEBC	10	−2	12
14	Nikola Tesla	10	+1	11
15	Teutonia Ottensen	10	−3	11
16	Concordia	10	−4	11
17	Harksheide	10	−9	7
18	Norderstedt II	9	−23	0