Home › Football › Oberliga - Hamburg › Altona 93 v Nikola Tesla

Altona 93 v Nikola Tesla

Altona 93

4–2Full time

Nikola Tesla

Oberliga - Hamburg · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 06:37

Altona 93 4–2 Nikola Tesla ALTONA 93 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Altona 93 win~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.136

Corrected on 13 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 3–2; the score is now 4–2 and the grades above follow it.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Altona 93 win70%

Draw15%

Nikola Tesla win15%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · altona 93 winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Altona 93 a 70% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.4, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · altona 93 win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Altona 93 win	70%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Nikola Tesla win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	83%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
Altona 93 or draw	85%	–	–
Altona 93 clean sheet	24%	–	–
Nikola Tesla clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.3%

0123450 1 3.4 4.8 3.5 2 5.1 7.2 5.2 2.5 3 5.2 7.3 5.2 2.6 4 4.1 5.6 4.0 5 2.6 3.6 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Altona 93 down, Nikola Tesla across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,602 Oberliga - Hamburg matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Hamburg matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.9% of games this season, across 92 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Altona 93 at home: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Nikola Tesla away: 3.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.12 goals for Altona 93, 1.45 for Nikola Tesla. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hamburg

ALTONA 93

WWDWDW6–1 · 4–3 · 5–5 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 4–1

NIKOLA TESLA

LLWDLW2–3 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 6–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tus Dassendorf	10	+18	23
2	Paloma	10	+9	22
3	HT16	11	+13	19
4	Victoria Hamburg	10	+7	19
5	Vorwärts-Wacker 04	11	+2	18
6	Altona 93	9	+4	17
7	Niendorfer TSV	11	−2	17
8	Pinneberg	10	+4	16
9	Buchholz	10	−3	15
10	ETSV Hamburg	9	+1	13
11	Sasel	10	−3	13
12	Süderelbe	10	+1	12
13	HEBC	10	−2	12
14	Nikola Tesla	10	+1	11
15	Teutonia Ottensen	11	−9	11
16	Concordia	11	−9	11
17	Harksheide	11	−9	8
18	Norderstedt II	10	−23	1