Altona 93 v ETSV Hamburg prediction · Oberliga

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Close to call, with ETSV Hamburg just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Altona 93 38%, draw 20%, ETSV Hamburg 41%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Altona 93 v ETSV HamburgBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 15 Oct 03:01 · postponed, not graded

Altona 93 win38%

Draw20%

ETSV Hamburg win41%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 18:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Altona 93

ETSV Hamburg

10Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Altona 93	10	+6	20
12	ETSV Hamburg	10	0	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · etsv hamburg winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · updated 15 Oct 03:01 · postponed, not graded

41% The market–

Us41%

We make ETSV Hamburg a 41% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Altona 93 v ETSV Hamburg~~2.00 – 2.07

~~Last six in Oberliga - Hamburg~~W4 D2 L0 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 20 v 13~~4 v 12

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Altona 93 win	38%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
ETSV Hamburg win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	57%	–	–
Altona 93 or draw	59%	–	–
Altona 93 clean sheet	13%	–	–
ETSV Hamburg clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.2%

0123450 3.6 3.8 2.6 1 3.5 7.2 7.2 5.0 2.6 2 3.5 6.9 7.0 4.8 2.5 3 2.3 4.6 4.6 3.2 4 2.3 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Altona 93 down, ETSV Hamburg across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,608 Oberliga - Hamburg matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Hamburg matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.5% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Altona 93 at home: 3.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). ETSV Hamburg away: 2.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.00 goals for Altona 93, 2.07 for ETSV Hamburg. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ETS 1–5 ALT · ALT 3–1 ETS · ALT 0–2 ETS · ETS 0–2 ALT

Form · last six in Oberliga - Hamburg

ALTONA 93

WDWDWW4–3 · 5–5 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 4–2

ETSV HAMBURG

LLWWLL1–4 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 4–6 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Paloma	11	+11	25
2	Tus Dassendorf	11	+17	23
3	Victoria Hamburg	11	+8	22
4	Altona 93	10	+6	20
5	HT16	11	+13	19
6	Vorwärts-Wacker 04	11	+2	18
7	Pinneberg	11	+4	17
8	Niendorfer TSV	11	−2	17
9	Süderelbe	11	+3	15
10	Buchholz	11	−5	15
11	Sasel	11	−3	14
12	ETSV Hamburg	10	0	13
13	HEBC	11	−4	12
14	Nikola Tesla	11	−1	11
15	Teutonia Ottensen	11	−9	11
16	Concordia	11	−9	11
17	Harksheide	11	−9	8
18	Norderstedt II	11	−22	4