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Union Bremen v Blumenthaler SV

Union Bremen

1–3Full time

Blumenthaler SV

Oberliga - Bremen · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Union Bremen 1–3 Blumenthaler SV BLUMENTHALER SV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Blumenthaler SV win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.292

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Union Bremen win26%

Draw18%

Blumenthaler SV win56%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · blumenthaler sv winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Blumenthaler SV a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Union Bremen win	26%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Blumenthaler SV win	56%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	64%	–	–
Union Bremen or draw	44%	–	–
Union Bremen clean sheet	8%	–	–
Blumenthaler SV clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.1%

0123450 3.1 4.3 3.8 2.6 1 5.8 7.1 6.3 4.2 2.32 4.9 6.3 5.4 3.6 3 3.0 3.8 3.3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Union Bremen down, Blumenthaler SV across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,331 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.7% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 4.60 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Union Bremen at home: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Blumenthaler SV away: 3.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Union Bremen, 2.67 for Blumenthaler SV. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.60

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~9 of 10

~~Last meetings~~UNI 1–3 BLU · BLU 4–1 UNI · BLU 2–7 UNI · UNI 1–4 BLU

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen

UNION BREMEN

DLLWDW2–2 · 1–6 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 3–0

BLUMENTHALER SV

WWWWLW7–1 · 1–0 · 5–2 · 6–0 · 0–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hemelingen	8	+28	22
2	Blumenthaler SV	8	+23	21
3	Brinkumer SV	8	+21	21
4	OSC Bremerhaven	8	+27	19
5	Aumund-Vegesack	8	+6	13
6	Union Bremen	8	+2	12
7	Eiche Horn	8	−4	12
8	Geestemünde	9	−6	11
9	Vatan Sport	8	+1	10
10	Grohn	8	−9	10
11	Schwachhausen	8	−9	10
12	BTS Neustadt	9	−13	9
13	Leher TS	9	−3	8
14	Werder Bremen III	8	−12	4
15	Woltmershausen	8	−22	4
16	Oberneuland	9	−30	2