Schwachhausen v Leher TS prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SchwachhausenDrawLeher TS

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Leher TS 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Leher TS just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Schwachhausen 38%, draw 22%, Leher TS 40%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Schwachhausen v Leher TSBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Schwachhausen win38%

Draw22%

Leher TS win40%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundBremen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Schwachhausen

Leher TS

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Schwachhausen	10	−6	14
12	Leher TS	10	+5	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leher ts winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Leher TS a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Schwachhausen v Leher TS~~1.80 – 1.87

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 4 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 11~~7 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Schwachhausen win	38%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Leher TS win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Schwachhausen or draw	60%	–	–
Schwachhausen clean sheet	16%	–	–
Leher TS clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.3 4.7 4.6 2.9 1 4.4 8.8 7.7 4.8 2.3 2 4.2 7.4 6.7 4.2 2.0 3 2.5 4.5 4.1 2.5 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Schwachhausen down, Leher TS across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,350 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.6% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Schwachhausen at home: 2.17 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Leher TS away: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.80 goals for Schwachhausen, 1.87 for Leher TS. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~LEH 2–1 SCH · SCH 2–0 LEH · SCH 4–2 LEH · LEH 2–2 SCH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 4 Sept

SCHWACHHAUSEN

WLLDWD1–0 · 0–5 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–3

LEHER TS

WLDDWW4–0 · 0–6 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 7–1 · 9–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brinkumer SV	11	+29	30
2	Hemelingen	10	+37	28
3	Blumenthaler SV	10	+29	27
4	OSC Bremerhaven	11	+31	25
5	Aumund-Vegesack	11	+6	17
6	Geestemünde	11	0	17
7	Schwachhausen	10	−6	14
8	Union Bremen	11	−3	13
9	Vatan Sport	10	−4	13
10	Eiche Horn	10	−11	12
11	BTS Neustadt	11	−12	12
12	Leher TS	10	+5	11
13	Grohn	11	−23	10
14	Werder Bremen III	11	−17	5
15	Oberneuland	11	−31	5
16	Woltmershausen	11	−30	4