OSC Bremerhaven v Schwachhausen prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OSC BremerhavenDrawSchwachhausen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · OSC Bremerhaven 75%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

OSC Bremerhaven are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: OSC Bremerhaven 75%, draw 14%, Schwachhausen 11%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on OSC Bremerhaven v SchwachhausenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

OSC Bremerhaven win75%

Draw14%

Schwachhausen win11%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundBremen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

OSC Bremerhaven

Schwachhausen

6Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	OSC Bremerhaven	11	+31	25
7	Schwachhausen	10	−6	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · osc bremerhaven winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make OSC Bremerhaven a 75% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · OSC Bremerhaven v Schwachhausen~~3.13 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 25 v 14~~4 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
OSC Bremerhaven win	75%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Schwachhausen win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
OSC Bremerhaven or draw	89%	–	–
OSC Bremerhaven clean sheet	34%	–	–
Schwachhausen clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.6%

0123450 1 4.6 5.4 3.0 2 7.1 7.6 4.3 3 7.1 7.5 4.2 4 5.5 5.8 3.2 5 3.6 3.7 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+OSC Bremerhaven down, Schwachhausen across0–5 goals a side shown (88.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,350 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.6% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

OSC Bremerhaven at home: 4.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Schwachhausen away: 2.00 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.13 goals for OSC Bremerhaven, 1.12 for Schwachhausen. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SCH 5–2 OSC · OSC 6–3 SCH · OSC 1–0 SCH · SCH 1–1 OSC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 6 Sept

OSC BREMERHAVEN

WDWLWW12–0 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–3 · 4–0 · 3–0

SCHWACHHAUSEN

WLLDWD1–0 · 0–5 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brinkumer SV	11	+29	30
2	Hemelingen	10	+37	28
3	Blumenthaler SV	10	+29	27
4	OSC Bremerhaven	11	+31	25
5	Aumund-Vegesack	11	+6	17
6	Geestemünde	11	0	17
7	Schwachhausen	10	−6	14
8	Union Bremen	11	−3	13
9	Vatan Sport	10	−4	13
10	Eiche Horn	10	−11	12
11	BTS Neustadt	11	−12	12
12	Leher TS	10	+5	11
13	Grohn	11	−23	10
14	Werder Bremen III	11	−17	5
15	Oberneuland	11	−31	5
16	Woltmershausen	11	−30	4