Oberneuland v BTS Neustadt prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 21:06

Oberneuland 0–2 BTS Neustadt BTS NEUSTADT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said BTS Neustadt win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.475

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

BTS Neustadt are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oberneuland 37%, draw 18%, BTS Neustadt 45%. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 83%.

The AI’s read on Oberneuland v BTS NeustadtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Oberneuland win37%

Draw18%

BTS Neustadt win45%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:30

RoundBremen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oberneuland

BTS Neustadt

5Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	BTS Neustadt	10	−14	9
14	Oberneuland	10	−29	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bts neustadt winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make BTS Neustadt a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–2.6, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Oberneuland v BTS Neustadt~~2.40 – 2.65

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 5 v 9~~14 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · BTS Neustadt win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oberneuland win	37%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
BTS Neustadt win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	87%	–	–
Both teams to score	83%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	73%	–	–
Oberneuland or draw	55%	–	–
Oberneuland clean sheet	8%	–	–
BTS Neustadt clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.2%

0123450 2.3 2.0 1 4.4 5.3 4.6 3.1 2 2.0 4.9 6.2 5.3 3.5 3 3.9 5.0 4.2 2.8 4 2.4 3.0 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Oberneuland down, BTS Neustadt across0–5 goals a side shown (90.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,345 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.75 goals a meeting; 8 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Oberneuland at home: 1.33 scored, 3.33 conceded a game (last 6). BTS Neustadt away: 2.33 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.40 goals for Oberneuland, 2.65 for BTS Neustadt. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.75

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BTS 3–2 OBE · OBE 8–0 BTS · OBE 3–1 BTS · BTS 1–2 OBE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 5 Sept

OBERNEULAND

LLLLLW0–12 · 0–3 · 0–6 · 0–2 · 1–5 · 4–3

BTS NEUSTADT

WLWWLL1–0 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–7 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hemelingen	10	+37	28
2	Blumenthaler SV	10	+29	27
3	Brinkumer SV	10	+26	27
4	OSC Bremerhaven	10	+28	22
5	Aumund-Vegesack	10	+9	17
6	Geestemünde	10	−3	14
7	Schwachhausen	10	−6	14
8	Vatan Sport	10	−4	13
9	Union Bremen	10	−3	12
10	Eiche Horn	10	−11	12
11	Leher TS	10	+5	11
12	Grohn	10	−20	10
13	BTS Neustadt	10	−14	9
14	Oberneuland	10	−29	5
15	Werder Bremen III	10	−17	4
16	Woltmershausen	10	−27	4