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Leher TS v BTS Neustadt

Leher TS

7–1Full time

BTS Neustadt

Oberliga - Bremen · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 22:00

Leher TS 7–1 BTS Neustadt BTS NEUSTADT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said BTS Neustadt win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.652

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Leher TS win35%

Draw21%

BTS Neustadt win44%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bts neustadt winPublished 9 Oct 21:34

44% The market–

Us44%

We make BTS Neustadt a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Leher TS win	35%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
BTS Neustadt win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Leher TS or draw	56%	–	–
Leher TS clean sheet	13%	–	–
BTS Neustadt clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.7%

0123450 2.5 3.8 4.2 2.9 1 3.4 7.7 7.5 5.2 2.8 2 3.4 6.8 6.9 4.8 2.6 3 2.1 4.3 4.4 3.1 4 2.1 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Leher TS down, BTS Neustadt across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,329 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.9% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 3.62 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Leher TS at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). BTS Neustadt away: 2.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Leher TS, 2.10 for BTS Neustadt. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.62

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~LEH 1–4 BTS · BTS 3–1 LEH · BTS 1–2 LEH · LEH 2–3 BTS

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen

LEHER TS

LLWLDD1–2 · 0–3 · 4–0 · 0–6 · 2–2 · 1–1

BTS NEUSTADT

LLWLWW0–6 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hemelingen	8	+28	22
2	Blumenthaler SV	8	+23	21
3	Brinkumer SV	8	+21	21
4	OSC Bremerhaven	8	+27	19
5	Aumund-Vegesack	8	+6	13
6	Union Bremen	8	+2	12
7	Eiche Horn	8	−4	12
8	Vatan Sport	8	+1	10
9	Grohn	8	−9	10
10	Schwachhausen	8	−9	10
11	BTS Neustadt	8	−7	9
12	Geestemünde	8	−10	8
13	Leher TS	8	−9	5
14	Werder Bremen III	8	−12	4
15	Woltmershausen	8	−22	4
16	Oberneuland	8	−26	2