Eiche Horn v Aumund-Vegesack prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:05

Eiche Horn 2–5 Aumund-Vegesack EICHE HORN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eiche Horn win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.851

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Eiche Horn win52%

Draw21%

Aumund-Vegesack win27%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Eiche Horn

Aumund-Vegesack

14Days since last match15

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Aumund-Vegesack	8	+6	13
8	Eiche Horn	8	−4	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eiche horn winPublished 11 Oct 14:35

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Eiche Horn a 52% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eiche Horn win	52%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Aumund-Vegesack win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Eiche Horn or draw	73%	–	–
Eiche Horn clean sheet	22%	–	–
Aumund-Vegesack clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%

0123450 3.1 3.5 2.9 1 5.1 8.4 6.1 3.1 2 5.8 8.6 6.5 3.4 3 4.2 6.2 4.7 2.4 4 2.4 3.5 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eiche Horn down, Aumund-Vegesack across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,334 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.9% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eiche Horn at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Aumund-Vegesack away: 2.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.19 goals for Eiche Horn, 1.53 for Aumund-Vegesack. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~EIC 0–1 AUM · AUM 0–4 EIC · AUM 2–3 EIC · EIC 4–1 AUM

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen

EICHE HORN

LDWWLD0–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 1–1

AUMUND-VEGESACK

WLWLWD2–1 · 2–3 · 3–2 · 2–3 · 7–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Blumenthaler SV	9	+25	24
2	Brinkumer SV	9	+25	24
3	Hemelingen	8	+28	22
4	OSC Bremerhaven	8	+27	19
5	Aumund-Vegesack	8	+6	13
6	Vatan Sport	9	+2	13
7	Union Bremen	9	0	12
8	Eiche Horn	8	−4	12
9	Geestemünde	9	−6	11
10	Grohn	8	−9	10
11	Schwachhausen	8	−9	10
12	BTS Neustadt	9	−13	9
13	Leher TS	9	−3	8
14	Werder Bremen III	9	−16	4
15	Woltmershausen	9	−23	4
16	Oberneuland	9	−30	2