BTS Neustadt v Union Bremen prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BTS NeustadtDrawUnion Bremen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · BTS Neustadt 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with BTS Neustadt just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: BTS Neustadt 41%, draw 19%, Union Bremen 41%. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 83%.

The AI’s read on BTS Neustadt v Union BremenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

BTS Neustadt win41%

Draw19%

Union Bremen win41%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundBremen · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

BTS Neustadt

Union Bremen

8Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

Last match: 24 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Union Bremen	11	−3	13
11	BTS Neustadt	11	−12	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bts neustadt winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make BTS Neustadt a 41% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–2.5, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · BTS Neustadt v Union Bremen~~2.47 – 2.47

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 13~~11 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
BTS Neustadt win	41%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Union Bremen win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	86%	–	–
Both teams to score	83%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	72%	–	–
BTS Neustadt or draw	59%	–	–
BTS Neustadt clean sheet	9%	–	–
Union Bremen clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.4%

0123450 2.3 1 4.7 5.3 4.3 2.7 2 2.3 5.4 6.4 5.2 3.2 3 4.4 5.2 4.2 2.6 4 2.7 3.3 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+BTS Neustadt down, Union Bremen across0–5 goals a side shown (91.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,350 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.6% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

BTS Neustadt at home: 2.83 scored, 3.17 conceded a game (last 6). Union Bremen away: 2.67 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.47 goals for BTS Neustadt, 2.47 for Union Bremen. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~UNI 1–4 BTS · BTS 2–4 UNI · UNI 4–5 BTS · BTS 0–0 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 12 Sept

BTS NEUSTADT

LWWLLW1–3 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–7 · 3–4 · 2–0

UNION BREMEN

WDWLLD3–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brinkumer SV	11	+29	30
2	Hemelingen	10	+37	28
3	Blumenthaler SV	10	+29	27
4	OSC Bremerhaven	11	+31	25
5	Aumund-Vegesack	11	+6	17
6	Geestemünde	11	0	17
7	Schwachhausen	10	−6	14
8	Union Bremen	11	−3	13
9	Vatan Sport	10	−4	13
10	Eiche Horn	10	−11	12
11	BTS Neustadt	11	−12	12
12	Leher TS	10	+5	11
13	Grohn	11	−23	10
14	Werder Bremen III	11	−17	5
15	Oberneuland	11	−31	5
16	Woltmershausen	11	−30	4