BTS Neustadt v Brinkumer SV prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

BTS Neustadt 3–4 Brinkumer SV BRINKUMER SV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Brinkumer SV win~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.196

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brinkumer SV are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: BTS Neustadt 21%, draw 15%, Brinkumer SV 64%. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 79%.

The AI’s read on BTS Neustadt v Brinkumer SVBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

BTS Neustadt win21%

Draw15%

Brinkumer SV win64%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundBremen · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

BTS Neustadt

Brinkumer SV

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Brinkumer SV	9	+25	24
12	BTS Neustadt	9	−13	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brinkumer sv winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Brinkumer SV a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–3.3, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · BTS Neustadt v Brinkumer SV~~1.82 – 3.27

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 9 v 24~~12 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
BTS Neustadt win	21%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Brinkumer SV win	64%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	87%	–	–
Both teams to score	79%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	96%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	73%	–	–
BTS Neustadt or draw	36%	–	–
BTS Neustadt clean sheet	5%	–	–
Brinkumer SV clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 6.0%

0123450 2.0 3.3 3.5 2.9 1 4.1 5.9 6.0 4.8 3.22 3.6 5.3 5.4 4.2 2.83 2.3 3.3 3.3 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+BTS Neustadt down, Brinkumer SV across0–5 goals a side shown (85.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,338 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 75.3% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

BTS Neustadt at home: 2.83 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Brinkumer SV away: 4.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for BTS Neustadt, 3.27 for Brinkumer SV. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BTS 3–1 BRI · BRI 5–0 BTS · BTS 0–3 BRI · BRI 6–0 BTS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 29 Aug

BTS NEUSTADT

LWLWWL0–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–7

BRINKUMER SV

WWWWWW3–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 7–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hemelingen	9	+31	25
2	Blumenthaler SV	9	+25	24
3	Brinkumer SV	9	+25	24
4	OSC Bremerhaven	10	+28	22
5	Aumund-Vegesack	9	+9	16
6	Vatan Sport	9	+2	13
7	Schwachhausen	9	−6	13
8	Union Bremen	9	0	12
9	Eiche Horn	10	−11	12
10	Geestemünde	9	−6	11
11	Grohn	9	−12	10
12	BTS Neustadt	9	−13	9
13	Leher TS	9	−3	8
14	Werder Bremen III	9	−16	4
15	Woltmershausen	9	−23	4
16	Oberneuland	9	−30	2